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The Great Policy U-Turn: Citi Forecasts Surprise RBA Rate Hikes as Inflation Proves Stubborn
Secondary Service Team 12/12/25 Secondary Service Team 12/12/25

The Great Policy U-Turn: Citi Forecasts Surprise RBA Rate Hikes as Inflation Proves Stubborn

The expected policy path for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has dramatically reversed. Global financial giant Citi has made a decisive U-turn on its forecast, now predicting that the RBA will begin raising its cash rate as early as February 2026, followed by a second hike in May.

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